Eta flood rescue
Police candidate Ernahi Pineda braves Hurricane Eta’s floodwaters on the Cececapa River in Santa Barbara, Honduras, to rescue 14 people trapped by the flood on November 6, 2020. The rescue was successful. (Image credit: Policia Nacional de Honduras)

A Tropical Storm Warning is up for South Florida, the Florida Keys, the Cayman Islands, and portions of the Bahamas and Cuba as a strengthening Tropical Storm Eta heads east-northeast across the western Caribbean.

At 10 a.m. EST Saturday, November 7, Eta was a tropical storm with 50 mph winds and a central pressure of 996 mb, speeding east-northeast at 17 mph. Satellite images and Cayman Islands radar showed that Eta had become much more organized, with a solid area of heavy thunderstorms and increased low-level spiral bands that were growing more organized. Data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft late Saturday morning showed surface winds in the storm ramping up. Eta brought sustained winds of 40 mph and heavy rain to Grand Cayman Island on Saturday morning.

Figure 1
Figure 1. Radar image of Tropical Storm Eta at 9:45 a.m. EST November 7. (Image credit: Cayman Islands National Weather Service)

Forecast for Eta

A trough of low pressure to its west will continue steering Eta to the northeast through Sunday, resulting in a landfall on the central coast of Cuba on Saturday night or Sunday morning. On Sunday, the southern end of the upper-level trough will be detaching from the jet stream over the eastern Gulf, and Eta and the trough will be merging or rotating around each other on Sunday and Monday, leading Eta to move northwest or west-northwest. Interaction with the trough could give Eta a brief shot of upper-level support and lead to some intensification over the warm waters of the Florida Straits. The interaction may also foster the intrusion of dry air into the west side of Eta, making it take on subtropical characteristics, and limiting its potential to intensify into a hurricane.

Steering currents will be weak once Eta merges with the upper level trough, and it’s not yet clear whether Eta’s long-range path might end up closer to the west coast of Florida, as suggested by the GFS model, or further offshore, as in the European model. Eventually – maybe not until late next week – the approach of a new upper-level trough will likely push Eta back toward the Florida Gulf Coast.

The main threat from Eta: Torrential rains and floods

Regardless of whether or not Eta makes landfall in Florida, the storm will bring heavy rains and strong winds well to the east of its center, resulting in several days of squally weather and locally torrential rain for South Florida. Rainfall of 5-10″, with some totals up to 15″, could fall in the coastal cities of South Florida from Fort Myers and Naples to Miami and Fort Lauderdale, where soils are largely saturated from late-October rains. A flood watch is in effect from Friday night into Tuesday over metro areas of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties. Tornadoes will also be possible in Eta’s rainbands.

Figure 2
Figure 2. Seven-day precipitation estimate for October 30 – November 5, using data from rain gauges, satellites, radar, and computer model forecasts. Eta became a tropical depression on October 31, and during the subsequent week brought heavy rains in excess of 20 inches (orange colors) to portions of Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico, and Costa Rica. (Image credit: NOAA/CPC)

A catastrophe in Central America

Dozens of people died in Central America, and dozens more remained missing on Saturday from destructive floods and mudslides from Eta, which made landfall in northeastern Nicaragua on November 3 as a category 4 hurricane with 140 mph winds. The death toll remained uncertain, as rescuers were challenged to reach some of the hardest-hit locations.

Some of the worst damage from Eta occurred on Wednesday and Thursday as the storm weakened to depression status and its rains shifted northwest into Guatemala, where thousands were reported marooned on Saturday.

More than 150 people were dead or missing across Guatemala in the wake of Eta, AFP, the French wire service, reported on Friday. Guatemalan President Alejandro Giammattei said that a preliminary survey found 100 people killed and 150 homes buried in a mudslide that inundated the village of Queja in the San Cristobal Verapraz area. More than 1,000 homes were damaged across Guatemala, according to a report from the news agency EFE. Eta’s floods and landslides have also led to at least 13 deaths in Honduras and two in Nicaragua, with eight people missing in Panama, according to AP and the Weather Channel.

How climate change is making hurricanes more dangerous

With the death toll relatively low so far in Honduras, when compared to similar slow-moving hurricanes like Mitch of 1998 and Fifi of 1974 which killed over 8,000 people each, Eta left behind catastrophic devastation in Honduras, a nation with few resources. Seven-day rainfall estimates from NOAA indicated that Eta dumped over 20 inches of rain along the northwest coast of Honduras, causing destructive flooding that destroyed many roads and bridges, isolating thousands of people. Over 400,000 people were made homeless in Honduras, and Eta could cost 20% of the nation’s GDP, according to one Honduras economist.

Bob Henson contributed to this post.

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Posted on November 7, 2020(12:58pm EST)

Topics: Weather Extremes
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Art
Art
16 days ago

another one?…comment image

Art
Art
17 days ago

comment image

ChanceShowerLA
ChanceShowerLA
17 days ago

comment image

Stevettocs
Stevettocs
17 days ago

October average temps ranked

statewidetavgrank-202010.png
Bahahurican
Bahahurican
17 days ago

@bust again …. were y’all supposed to get wx today? I thought Sunday was 4 the Keys an S FL….

Art
Art
17 days ago

Rab..next sunday again………..comment image

HadesGodWyvern
HadesGodWyvern
17 days ago

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5 – 21:00 PM JST November 8 2020
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24
=============================================
South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 12.7N 118.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================
12 HRS: 12.6N 115.1E – 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
24 HRS: 12.5N 112.7E – 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
48 HRS: 12.7N 108.6E – 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Over land Vietnam
72 HRS: 12.7N 102.9E – Tropical Depression over land Cambodia

———————————————————————————

Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1 – 21:00 PM JST November 8 2020
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
=============================================
Caroline Islands

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 8.8N 133.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity:

Forecast and Intensity
=========================
24 HRS: 12.7N 130.6E – 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East of the Philippines
48 HRS: 14.1N 127.8E – 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East of the Philippines
72 HRS: 14.2N 124.4E – 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea East of the Philippines

Art
Art
17 days ago

comment image

MPttee
MPttee
17 days ago

As prepared as can be here in big pine key. Not expecting much, but mother nature will do her thing so never know.

Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

Live

Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

Man we’re getting crushed by tropical storm out of here on the coast and East Central Florida there’s a live shot of how bad it is

Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago
Reply to  Bust again

Live

20201108_103026.jpg
WeatherJunkie
WeatherJunkie
17 days ago

Hello

Can someone provide the link to the disquis comment forum for weather underground? I lost all my bookmarks due to a new laptop

cloudy2
cloudy2
17 days ago
Reply to  WeatherJunkie
greiner3
greiner3
16 days ago
Reply to  cloudy2

Thanks, but that link takes you to a page from several months ago.

Anybody??

greiner3
greiner3
17 days ago
Reply to  WeatherJunkie

I had the link bookmarked, but for some reason it just brings up a blank page. I can’t see anyone posting the official ‘bye bye WU’, but there’s not many posters I readily recognize. So, anyone???

Stevettocs
Stevettocs
17 days ago

today’s look

gfs_world-ced_t2anom_1-day.png
Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

All the weather stations forecasting 25 to 45 mile-an-hour winds 4 to 6 in of rain here in East Central Florida and here’s our outcome as usua. 13th bust this season

get.jpg
Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

Here’s the updated latest model runs on eta as you can see the central Florida Shield Dome holds strong the storm moves way south and west of Florida comes up and it goes way north of Central Florida

get.png
Art
Art
17 days ago
Reply to  Bust again

/ignore

Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

80s putting on a spectacular Sunny event here in Central Florida I don’t know if we can handle any more rain it’s been crazy here Sun blazing hot people are laying out by their pools what storm is coming another bust

flyingcactus
flyingcactus
17 days ago

Just checking in on conversation about Eta. I liked the outdoor furniture photo! I’ve been hanging around these comments for a long time, and I want to say that even when a storm is a “bust,” I appreciate the experts and enthusiasts who help us prepare. I’d rather be ready than be surprised. I’ve lived in FL since 1970 and been through some awful storms. I agree sometimes there is hype and the models are all over the place, but such is the challenge of trying to measure and understand the vast natural phenomena that make up this planet. Disagreement fosters discovery but civility is important.

Amature Met
Amature Met
17 days ago
Reply to  flyingcactus

Very well said.

Disagreement fosters discovery but civility is important.

lived in Fl since 59 Memories of Dora.

ChanceShowerLA
ChanceShowerLA
17 days ago

comment image

ChanceShowerLA
ChanceShowerLA
17 days ago

Eta…..MIMIC…..

gifsBy12hr_09.gif
Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

More new proof that this storm is just another complete bust for East coast Central florida..worse weather daily with our afternoon. Storms. Than Eta will be

28d7551f96bfc1cfa99ee3353205ff87915fdf3487901aa7f2ea6d4bb64e12b1.png
Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

Everyone here in East Central Florida sick and tired of all the bullshit hype with every storm going to hit here and nothing ever happens please stop all the hype nothing’s going to happen

Jeanne
Jeanne
17 days ago
Reply to  Bust again

I think you are discounting the information to quickly. The storm is still heading NE and not NNW as predicted. Even if it does make the turn we are likely to get rain and wind. If you look at current live graphics, it is throwing off clods up here.

Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago
Reply to  Jeanne

Oh please sunny as hell here right now and we get 20 30 mile an hour winds everyday with thunderstorms no big deal

Amature Met
Amature Met
17 days ago
Reply to  Bust again

I would wish you a Cat 5 right up your A___. However since I live about 1 or two counties away may you continue to have bust storms for years to come. If you really want to experience a cane you can always drive close to a land falling one next year.

Its called keeping your house and chasing storms.

Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

Everyone here in central East Coast Florida Volusia Flagler County are planning big barbecues today not worried about anything from this storm that they forecast cuz we all know it’s a bust

Art
Art
17 days ago
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Showers and a few lightning storms will be possible today and
into tonight. Brief heavy downpours, occasional to frequent
lightning, and wind gusts up to 30 mph will be possible in any
storms which move quickly onshore from the Atlantic and inland. A
few tornadoes will be possible in squalls which will move quickly
onshore and across the Treasure Coast and Lake Okeechobee regions

.FLOOD IMPACT...
Periods of moderate to occasionally heavier showers are expected
to persist today across the Space and Treasure Coasts and
Okeechobee County. Rainfall amounts up to 3 to 4 inches are
possible with any training rainbands. Ponding of water on roadways
and minor flooding of low areas is possible, especially for
vulnerable areas of Saint Lucie and Martin counties.

.HIGH WIND IMPACT...
Sustained winds over over 20 mph will occur today generally along
the coast and along southern Okeechobee county, with frequent
gusts over 25 mph.

.COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
High surf conditions are expected to continue today, with large
breaking waves up to 14 feet developing in the surf zone. Moderate
beach erosion will be possible.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
Weather and ocean conditions will result in a High Risk for rip
currents along with dangerous rough surf at area beaches today.
Use caution at the beach. Entering the surf is not advised.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
Gusty winds are likely in onshore moving showers today. Wind
gusts of 35 to 40 knots will be possible, especially from Cape
Canaveral southwards as well as the larger inland lakes.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
East to northeast winds 25 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots
and seas of 7 to 14 feet in the nearshore waters and 11 to 15
feet in the offshore waters will keep conditions hazardous for
boaters over the local Atlantic waters today. Then, winds
increasing to 30 knots overnight, with seas building to up to 18
feet late tonight. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for Volusia
County near and offshore waters until 7PM tonight, when it will
get replaced by a Gale Warning. A Tropical Storm Warning is in
effect from the Volusia Brevard County line near and offshore
waters south.
Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago
Reply to  Art

Idiot your forecast title says hazardous weather statement for East Central Florida nd all they talk about is too heavy rains and winds for South Florida

Art
Art
17 days ago
Reply to  Bust again

you see this finger

greiner3
greiner3
17 days ago
Reply to  Art

I like mine in stereo.

Amature Met
Amature Met
17 days ago
Reply to  Bust again

That is a quote from NWS. You call them idiots? You just lost all respect and responses from me.

Dr. Levi makes great videos. Why don’t you make some?

Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

Another East Coast Central Florida bust

get.jpg
Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

We are all waiting for the predicted 25 to 45 mile an hour winds and heavy rain here in Central Florida for the 13th time this year and still haven’t seen anything yet this season….. another big bust again

SchleichDuDuOaschloch
SchleichDuDuOaschloch
17 days ago
Reply to  Bust again

You should go into the weather forecasting business!
I am pretty sure you can do better by yourself than all these so called experts with their science and their expensive toys like satellites, planes and radar stations!

Art
Art
17 days ago
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Miami FL
650 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020

FLC011-086-099-081445-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FA.Y.0195.201108T1150Z-201108T1445Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Miami-Dade FL-Broward FL-Palm Beach FL-
650 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020

The National Weather Service in Miami has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
  Northern Miami-Dade County in southeastern Florida...
  Broward County in southeastern Florida...
  Southeastern Palm Beach County in southeastern Florida...

* Until 945 AM EST.

* At 649 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain that will cause
  minor flooding in the advisory area. Up to two inches of rain have
  already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Fort Lauderdale, Pembroke Pines, Hollywood, Miramar and Coral
  Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of canals
and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well
as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LAT...LON 2650 7991 2593 8003 2596 8027 2652 8020

$$

FELL
Bust again
Bust again
17 days ago

What happened to this from yesterday oops just another bust again

get (1).png
Amature Met
Amature Met
17 days ago
Reply to  Bust again

This is newer, perhaps you like it better? Looks to be mostly rain.

29L_gefs_latest.png
Florida Birdy
Florida Birdy
17 days ago

Unfortunately this is weather somewhat unpredictable, it’s a dammed if you do and dammed if you don’t situation. If we didn’t get the warnings and we get slammed by a storm, we blame the forecasters for not warning us. They warn us we prepare and we don’t get worst case scenario people get pissed. I understand how you feel but I will take the warnings to prepare and if we get a free pass I thank my lucky stars.
We are entering a new phase of weather/natural disasters predictably is getting harder and the conditions to cause these storms is growing. One of these days Florida (East Coast) central to south will undoubtedly see another Andrew and that right there is the reason I’m thankful when we get a free pass (this time).

Art
Art
17 days ago

comment image

Jeanne
Jeanne
17 days ago
Reply to  Art

Thank you Art. I am in Florida and appreciate you posting these😃

Amature Met
Amature Met
17 days ago
Reply to  Jeanne

Yes thank you Art.

Kevin
17 days ago

Here in Costa Rica, we saw days of rain from Eta followed by days more of rain as the hydrological cycle played out — the heaviest stretch of rain this year. And now we are beginning a multi-day stretch of the driest skies in more than six months.

The long-range predictions of exponentially increased precipitation from warming seas have accelerated ahead of the long-term timeline, as anticipated in updates through the last half dozen years. So now, even the cooler SSTs of a significant La Nina do not reduce the rainy season…

…but maybe, just maybe, will allow another beautiful winter — although we use the southern hemisphere seasons here because we are south of the northern edge of South America, so we are coming into the drier, cooler “Tico summer”, when everyone comes/goes to the beach…

…or used to go the beach before the global resource consumption crisis that generates global warming and these long, intense storm seasons that steam and pollute the shore waters, and also gave us this unnecessary pandemic. But, as long as the pirates in North America and western Europe ignore us to continue to steal the resources from “the rest of the world” and use them to buy home air-conditioning, the collapse goes on. If you want to wake up, the first thing you do is kill all your air-conditioners, instead of all the rest of us. …but you will not, and you will not help us share real solutions, so…enjoy the fall.

Kevin
17 days ago
Reply to  Kevin

P.s. My home is the 20 inch orange rainbow.

Kathy
Kathy
17 days ago
Reply to  Kevin

Kevin – I am truly very sorry. I hope you and your loved ones are safe. Stay well. Change in the U.S. is coming.

Amature Met
Amature Met
17 days ago
Reply to  Kevin
  • Wow your hatred id showing. Good to know Russia, China, and well see below are all ok. Only problem is America and Western Europe.

In total, the US transportation sector—which includes cars, trucks, planes, trains, ships, and freight—produces nearly thirty percent of all US global warming emissions, more than almost any other sector.

A/C Resource theft, OH, if only you knew how to use google!

Car Emissions & Global Warming | Union of Concerned Scientists

B

C

D

E

F

G

H

I

J

K

L

M

N

O

P

Q

R

S

T

U

V

Y

Z

The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica

Art
Art
17 days ago

comment image

HadesGodWyvern
HadesGodWyvern
17 days ago

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3 – 15:00 PM JST November 8 2020
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24
=============================================
South China Sea

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 13.6N 120.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 13 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.5-

Forecast and Intensity
=========================
12 HRS: 13.1N 116.0E – Tropical Depression in South China Sea
24 HRS: 12.9N 113.0E – 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
48 HRS: 12.6N 109.5E – 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
72 HRS: 12.7N 103.2E – Tropical Depression over land Cambodia

HadesGodWyvern
HadesGodWyvern
17 days ago

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1 – 9:00 AM JST November 8 2020
TROPICAL DEPRESSION
=============================================
Over land Oriental Mindoro province (Luzon/Philippines)

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 12.8N 121.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity:

Forecast and Intensity
=========================
12 HRS: 12.5N 117.5E – Tropical Depression in South China Sea
24 HRS: 12.5N 114.6E – 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
48 HRS: 12.4N 110.0E – 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
72 HRS: 12.6N 105.4E – Tropical Depression over land Cambodia

NCHurricane2009
17 days ago

My latest birdseye view chart and post on the Atlantic tropics is at this link. More information on Tropical Storm Eta, and also the area of interest in the 5-day NHC tropical weather outlook.

Amature Met
Amature Met
17 days ago

No thank you

29L_geps_latest.png
ChanceShowerLA
ChanceShowerLA
17 days ago

comment image

ChanceShowerLA
ChanceShowerLA
17 days ago

comment image?hash=53819

Florida Birdy
Florida Birdy
18 days ago

Wow I come here to get a feel for the current weather issues and wow is all I can really say, someone seriously needs their soap box taken away. Sitting here in PBC FL wondering if to shutter or not, it’s quite the dilemma.

Bahahurican
Bahahurican
18 days ago
Reply to  Florida Birdy

We didn’t here in Nassau, Bahamas … and I suspect the worst of the hurricane force winds will stay south of you. But This

comment image?w=600&h=696

Suggests TS winds throughout PBC, so I’d think seriously about doing it.

Florida Birdy
Florida Birdy
17 days ago
Reply to  Bahahurican

Thanks hope all goes well for you over there stay safe.

Bahahurican
Bahahurican
18 days ago

Good afternoon again … I’m expecting Eta to bring some torrential rain totals overnight to the Caymans, Cuba, and parts of the central and NW Bahamas … and then to S Florida starting tomorrow. Still not sure what the wind impacts will be like, but that little area between Cuba, Florida and the Bahamas has powered a few blockbuster storms over the decades. We’ll have to see how things go tomorrow.

Bahahurican
Bahahurican
18 days ago

Good afternoon all. Rain is just started here …. I suspect it’s going to get blustery here overnight ….
http://smartmet.bahamasweat

Art
Art
18 days ago
Reply to  Bahahurican

good luck there..be safe

Bahahurican
Bahahurican
18 days ago
Reply to  Art

It’s looking like prodigious rains are going to be the main impact here. Looking at Eta this afternoon, S FL and the Keys may be looking at near hurricane force winds tomorrow.

bill action
bill action
18 days ago

get rid of hosed,who needs all the political hate and bs

John G
John G
18 days ago
Reply to  bill action

Amen. This is a weather site.

Mikesurvivor
Mikesurvivor
18 days ago

Sounds like almost another Harvey; little wind and gobs of rain..

Bill
Bill
18 days ago

wow! Rainfall totals in Central America of 40-60 inches.
Thank you Bob, good post.

greiner3
greiner3
18 days ago

72 days until sanity returns.

Vintage Cars
Vintage Cars
17 days ago
Reply to  greiner3

The post election glee has been delicious. Also in wisconsin it’s 70 degrees and November. I’m grillin big tonight. Best Indian Summer ever!

Vintage Cars
Vintage Cars
17 days ago
Reply to  Vintage Cars

We’re lighting fireworks tonight.

Kathy
Kathy
17 days ago
Reply to  greiner3

Actually, 73 (1.20.2021).