The record-busy 2020 Atlantic hurricane season brought another addition to its bevy of early-season storms at 5 p.m. EDT August 14, when Tropical Storm Kyle formed off the coast of Maryland.
Kyle arrived well ahead of the previous earliest appearance by the Atlantic season’s eleventh named storm – Katrina on August 24, 2005. Seven other Atlantic storms have set similar records during this already-hyperactive 2020 season.
However, the majority of 2020’s impressive herd of early-season storms have been short-lived; only two made it to category 1 hurricane strength. As a result, the Accumulated Cyclone Energy, or ACE – a measure of the total destructive power of a hurricane season – has been unusually low for the first 10 storms of a season, according to statistics tweeted by Sam Lillo:
Notwithstanding its historic timing, Kyle is not expected to bring major impacts to land. As of 5 a.m. EDT Saturday, Kyle was located 280 miles southeast of Providence, Rhode Island, moving east-northeast at 21 mph with top sustained winds at 45 mph.
Kyle was over the Gulf Stream, where waters were a record-warm 27-28 degrees Celsius (81-82°F), which is about 2 degrees Celsius (3.6°F) above average. Satellite images showed that high wind shear resulting from strong upper-level winds out of the southwest were keeping the low-level center exposed to view, and all of Kyle’s heavy thunderstorms were confined to the east side of the center. High wind shear will affect Kyle throughout the weekend, and it is unlikely that the storm will become a hurricane.
Well-defined steering currents will take Kyle rapidly to the east-northeast over the weekend, and Kyle’s winds and rain are not expected to impact any land areas. By Monday, Kyle will leave the warm waters of the Gulf Stream and move over cold waters, bringing an end to its brief life as an inconsequential tropical storm.
Tropical Storm Josephine also no threat to land
Meanwhile, the season’s record-earliest tenth named storm, Tropical Storm Josephine, was also struggling with high wind shear as it traced out a path over the open ocean.
At 5 a.m. EDT Saturday, Josephine was located about 310 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands, moving west-northwest at 15 mph with top sustained winds at 45 mph. Josephine is expected to bring one to three inches of rain over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the weekend. Josephine will encounter steadily rising wind shear through Monday, peaking at a very high 30 – 35 knots. This high shear is likely to destroy Josephine’s circulation by Monday, before the storm can affect any other land areas.
Next update not expected before Monday, August 17.
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I hope Jeff and Bob’s sincere friends and WU Family make it over here to show some love and support. Be nice to see at least one day where this place was packed. Would show a lot of support and drown out the trolling. With an expected hyperactive season coming surprised the interest here has been so low. Hoping the Yale crowd shows up enmasse at some point to liven this place up.
Impressive! From EUMETSAT Image Gallery, 1600 UTC.
ALOT OF TYPICAL HYPE AGAIN THIS YEAR … FLORIDA WONT GET ANYTHING THIS YEAR ANY STORMS THAT FORM WILL GO EVERYWHERE BUT FLORIDA
I guess there are other places besides Florida. Also, as hard as it is to believe, with our being on Kyle already, the season has barely gotten started. I hope you get to continue to feel smug, though! Seriously!
isiais was another great goofed forecadt ….here in daytona beach they said 50 to 70mph winds and 3 – 5 inches of rain and its hot and sunny out……another typical bust forcast by the experts
Thanks for the update!
You only get one handle.. So stop trying to post as JFV too.
This is what I’ve been waiting for! It is great to see you back!!!’
Thanks Doc! We are keeping an eye on the wave about to emerge off of Africa and the area below Kyle.
what for? nothing will happen
thats to funny … they cant even get a forcast or track correct 2 days out
It does look pretty nasty on IR.
Yeah that wave coming off Africa looks impressive
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