A weather outlook that looks painfully similar to that preceding 2005’s severe storm season.

That’s the bottom-line assessment of National Center for Atmospheric Research Associate Director Greg Holland, director of NCAR’s Earth System Laboratory. In the first of three concise videos capturing Holland’s assessment, taped during a recent National Science Foundation workshop on climate change communications, Holland describes (watch the video) what worries him about the forecast emerging among weather experts.

The videos are the result of collaboration between The Yale Forum and the independent Climate Central. The two organizations expect to jointly release the additional two videos capturing Holland’s perspectives over the next several days leading up to the “official” June 1 start of the hurricane season.